2012 Tony Predictions: Lead Actor in a Play

Will Win/Should Win - Philip Seymour Hoffman "Death of a Salesman"
Could Win - James Corden "One Man Two Guvnors"

Commentary - Philip Seymour Hoffman apparently gives one hell of a performance in Mike Nichol's Revival of Arthur Miller's classic, and while some see James Corden as a threat, I think that Hoffman has this one in the bag.