Thursday, July 20, 2017

2017 Emmys: First Winner Predictions

These are my first winner predictions in the aftermath of last week's Emmy nominations:

Best Drama Series - Stranger Things
Best Comedy Series - Veep
Best Actor in a Drama Series - Sterling K. Brown "This is Us"
Best Actress in a Drama Series - Elisabeth Moss "The Handmaid's Tale"
Best Actor in a Comedy Series - Donald Glover "Atlanta"
Best Actress in a Comedy Series - Julia Louis-Dreyfus "Veep"
Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series - John Lithgow "The Crown"
Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series - Millie Bobby Brown "Stranger Things"
Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series - Alec Baldwin "Saturday Night Live"
Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series - Kate McKinnon "Saturday Night Live"
Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series - Gerald McRaney "This is Us"
Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series - Alexis Bledel "The Handmaid's Tale"
Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series - Lin-Manuel Miranda "Saturday Night Live"
Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series - Melissa McCarthy "Saturday Night Live"
Best Directing in a Drama Series - Stranger Things - The Vanishing of Will Byers
Best Writing in a Drama Series - The Handmaid's Tale - Offred (The Pilot)
Best Directing a Comedy Series - Veep - Groundbreaking
Best Writing in a Comedy Series - Master of None - Thanksgiving
Best Limited Series - Big Little Lies
Best Made for Television Movie - Sherlock: The Lying Detective
Best Actor in a TV Movie/Miniseries - Robert DeNiro "The Wizard of Lies"
Best Actress in a TV Movie/Miniseries - Jessica Lange "Feud: Bette and Joan"
Best Supporting Actor in a TV Movie/Limited Series - Alfred Molina "Feud: Bette and Joan"
Best Supporting Actress in a TV Movie/Limited Series - Laura Dern "Big Little Lies"
Best Directing in a TV Movie/Limited Series - Big Little Lies
Best Writing in a TV Movie/Limited Series - Big Little Lies
Best Reality-Competition Program - RuPaul's Drag Race
Best Reality Host - RuPaul Charles "RuPaul's Drag Race"
Best Variety Series/Talk - Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Best Variety Series/Sketch - Saturday Night Live
Best Variety Special - Stephen Colbert's Live Election Night
Best Special Class Program - The 70th Annual Tony Awards
Best Directing in a Variety Series - Saturday Night Live
Best Directing in a Variety Special - The Oscars
Best Writing in a Variety Series - Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Best Writing in a Variety Special - Louis C.K.: 2017

Thursday, July 13, 2017

69th Annual Primetime Emmy Award Nominations

Best Drama Series
Better Call Saul
The Crown
The Handmaid’s Tale
House of Cards
Stranger Things
This Is Us

Best Comedy Series
Master of None
Modern Family
Silicon Valley
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Best Actress in Drama Series
Viola Davis “How to Get Away with Murder”
Claire Foy “The Crown”
Elisabeth Moss “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Keri Russell “The Americans”
Evan Rachel Wood “Westworld”
Robin Wright “House of Cards”

Best Actor in a Drama Series
 Sterling K. Brown (“This Is Us”)
Anthony Hopkins (“Westworld”)
Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”)
Matthew Rhys (“The Americans”)
Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”)
Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”)
Milo Ventimiglia (“This Is Us”)

Best Actress in a Comedy Series
Pamela Adlon “Better Things”
Jane Fonda “Grace and Frankie”
Allison Janney “Mom”
Ellie Kemper “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus “Veep”
Tracee Ellis Ross “black-ish”
Lily Tomlin “Grace and Frankie”

Best Actor in a Comedy Series
Anthony Anderson “black-ish”
Aziz Ansari “Master of None”
Zach Galifianakis “Baskets”
Donald Glover “Atlanta”
William H. Macy “Shameless”
Jeffrey Tambor “Transparent”

Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
 Uzo Aduba “Orange is the New Black”
Millie Bobby Brown “Stranger Things”
Ann Dowd “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Chrissy Metz “This Is Us”
Thandie Newton “Westworld”
Samira Wiley “The Handmaid’s Tale”

Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Jonathan Banks “Better Call Saul”
David Harbour “Stranger Things”
Ron Cephas Jones “This Is Us”
Michael Kelly “House of Cards”
John Lithgow “The Crown”
Mandy Patinkin “Homeland”
Jeffrey Wright “Westworld”

Best Supporting Actress in Comedy Series
Vanessa Bayer “Saturday Night Live”
Anna Chlumsky “Veep”
Kathryn Hahn “Transparent”
Leslie Jones “Saturday Night Live”
Judith Light “Transparent”
Kate McKinnon “Saturday Night Live”

Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
 Louie Anderson “Baskets”
Alec Baldwin “Saturday Night Live”
Tituss Burgess “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
Ty Burrell “Modern Family”
Tony Hale “Veep”
Matt Walsh “Veep”

Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series
Alexis Bledel “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Laverne Cox “Orange is the New Black”
Ann Dowd “The Leftovers”
Shannon Purser “Stranger Things”
Cicely Tyson “How to Get Away with Murder”
Alison Wright “The Americans

Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series
Hank Azaria “Ray Donovan”
Brian Tyree Henry “This Is Us”
Gerald McRaney “This Is Us”
Ben Mendelsohn “Bloodline”
Denis O’Hare “This Is Us”
BD Wong “Mr. Robot”

Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
Becky Ann Baker “Girls”
Angela Bassett “Master of None”
Carrie Fisher “Catastrophe”
Melissa McCarthy “Saturday Night Live”
Wanda Sykes “black-ish”
Kristen Wiig “Saturday Night Live”

Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
 Riz Ahmed “Girls”
Dave Chappelle “Saturday Night Live”
Tom Hanks “Saturday Night Live”
Hugh Laurie “Veep”
Lin-Manuel Miranda “Saturday Night Live”
Matthew Rhys “Girls”

Best Directing in Drama Series
 Vince Gilligan, “Better Call Saul - Witness”
Stephen Daldry, “The Crown - Hyde Park Corner”
Reed Morano, “The Handmaid's Tale - Offred (Pilot)”
Kate Dennis, “The Handmaid's Tale - The Bridge”
Lesli Linka Glatter, “Homeland - America First”
The Duffer Brothers, “Stranger Things - Chapter One: The Vanishing of Will Byers”
Jonathan Nolan, “Westworld - The Bicameral Mind"

Best Writing in a Drama
Joel Fields and Joe Weisberg, “The Americans - The Soviet Division”
Gordon Smith, “Better Call Saul - Chicanery”
Peter Morgan, “The Crown - Assassins”
Bruce Miller, “The Handmaid's Tale - Offred (Pilot)”
The Duffer Brothers, “Stranger Things - Chapter One: The Vanishing of Will Byers”
Lisa Joy and Jonathan Nolan, “Westworld - The Bicameral Mind”

Best Directing in a Comedy Series
 Donald Glover, “B.A.N.” (“Atlanta”)
Jamie Babbit, “Intellectual Property” (“Silicon Valley”)
Mike Judge, “Server Error” (“Silicon Valley”)
Morgan Sackett, “Blurb” (“Veep”)
David Mandel, “Groundbreaking” (“Veep”)
Dale Stern, “Justice” (“Veep”)

Best Writing in a Comedy Series
 Donald Glover, “Atlanta - B.A.N.”
Stephen Glover, “Atlanta - Streets on Lock”
Aziz Ansari and Lena Waithe, “Master of None - Thanksgiving”
Alec Berg, “Silicon Valley - Success Failure”
Billy Kimball, “Veep - Georgia”
David Mandel, “Veep - Groundbreaking”

Best Limited Series
Big Little Lies
Feud: Bette and Joan
The Night Of

Best TV Movie
Black Mirror: San Junipero
Dolly Parton’s Christmas of Many Colors: Circle of Love
The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks
Sherlock: The Lying Detective
The Wizard of Lies

Best Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Carrie Coon “Fargo”
Felicity Huffman “American Crime”
Nicole Kidman “Big Little Lies”
Jessica Lange “Feud: Bette and Joan”
Reese Witherspoon “Big Little Lies”
Susan Sarandon “Feud: Bette and Joan”

Best Actor in Limited Series or TV Movie
Riz Ahmed “The Night Of"
Benedict Cumberbatch “Sherlock: The Lying Detective”
Robert De Niro “The Wizard of Lies”
Ewan McGregor “Fargo”
Geoffrey Rush “Genius"
John Turturro “The Night Of"

Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie
Judy Davis “Feud: Bette and Joan”
Laura Dern “Big Little Lies”
Jackie Hoffman “Feud: Bette and Joan”
Regina King “American Crime”
Michelle Pfeiffer “The Wizard of Lies”
Shailene Woodley “Big Little Lies”

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series/TV Movie
 Bill Camp “The Night Of”
Alfred Molina “Feud: Bette and Joan”
Alexander Skarsgard “Big Little Lies”
David Thewlis “Fargo”
Stanley Tucci “Feud: Bette and Joan”
Michael Kenneth Williams “The Night Of”

Best Reality-Competition Program
The Amazing Race
American Ninja Warrior
Project Runway
RuPaul’s Drag Race
Top Chef
The Voice

Best Reality Host
Martha Stewart & Snoop Dogg “Martha & Snoop’s Potluck Dinner Party”
Gordon Ramsay “MasterChef Junior”
Alec Baldwin “Match Game”
Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn “Project Runway”
RuPaul Charles “RuPaul’s Drag Race”
W. Kamau Bell “United Shades of America”

Best Variety Series - Talk
Full Frontal with Samantha Bee
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Late Late Show with James Corden
Late Show with Stephen Colbert
Real Time with Bill Maher

Best Variety Series - Sketch 
Billy on the Street
Documentary Now
Drunk History
Saturday Night Live
Tracey Ullman’s Show

Tuesday, July 11, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Drama Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
The Americans
Better Call Saul
The Crown
The Handmaid's Tale
The Leftovers
Stranger Things
This is Us

Other Contenders - Westworld, House of Cards, Homeland, Mr. Robot, American Gods, Orange is the New Black, The Good Fight, Bloodline, Queen Sugar, 13 Reasons Why, Legion, Empire, Vikings, Bates Motel, Designated Survivor, Billions, Victoria, Poldark, Ray Donovan, Doctor Who, The Path, The Affair

Commentary - Is it possible that three series from last year don't get back in? It is kind of gamble to think so, and yet if you look across the prediction-sphere, most people are going out on this limb. I am too, but don't be surprised if House of Cards, Homeland, or Mr. Robot get back in. I think The Americans and Better Call Saul return. With Downton and Game of Thrones gone there are at least two slots. The Crown and This is Us are probably the strongest of the new shows, so even if those old favorites return, expect those two to make it in. I also think that The Handmaid's Tale gets in, with its great reviews and buzz at just the right moment. Finally, Stranger Things made a huge splash on the guild circuit earlier this year, so I think it makes the cut. But, to all the fans out there. Science fiction is still a tough sell to these voters, so Stranger Things is vulnerable. For the last slot, I was going to put in Westworld. But the buzz has died. I think HBO is going to take a slot, because they always do. Instead of Westworld, I am picking The Leftovers. It has had stunning reviews, and while it is ending, has clearly hit its peak at the right time. This will be an interesting race to watch. Also look out for The Good Fight, Orange is the New Black, American Gods, Bloodline, Empire, and the final season of Bates Motel.

Monday, July 10, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Comedy Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Master of None
Silicon Valley
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Other Contenders - Modern Family, Girls, Grace and Frankie, One Day at a Time, Insecure, The Big Bang Theory, Dear White People, Better Things, The Good Place, Jane the Virgin, Great News, Fleabag, Mom, A Series of Unfortunate Events, Catastrophe, Speechless, The Mick, Fresh Off the Boat, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, You're the Worst, The Last Man on Earth, Divorce, Baskets, I Love Dick, Crashing, Search Party

Commentary - There are so many great comedy series, and yet I feel like this is really a seven-way race for six slots. One of these folks from last year has to make room for Atlanta. I know this sounds crazy, but I think Modern Family is going to leave this category. Buzz is non-existant. Last year, it only got two nominations, and continues to lose ground, and the other six all had great seasons to justify a return. Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt is also vulnerable because it doesn't get writing and directing love. But it, along with Master of None, premiered at just the right time and are getting the buzz at the right time. Now, I will not be surprised if Modern Family returns, but I think that Emmy voters are ready to move on.

Sunday, July 9, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Actor in a Drama Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Sterling K. Brown "This is Us"
Kyle Chandler "Bloodline"
Rami Malek "Mr. Robot"
Bob Odenkirk "Better Call Saul"
Matthew Rhys "The Americans"
Kevin Spacey "House of Cards"

Other Contenders - Liev Schreiber "Ray Donovan", Anthony Hopkins "Westworld", Justin Theroux "The Leftovers", Milo Ventimiglia "This is Us", Billy Bob Thornton "Goliath", Ian McShane "American Gods", Ricky Whittle "American Gods", Paul Giamatti "Billions", Damien Lewis "Billions", Hugh Laurie "Chance", Rupert Friend "Homeland", Freddie Highmore "Bates Motel", Terrence Howard "Empire", Kiefer Sutherland "Designated Survivor", Aaron Paul "The Path", Aldis Hodge "Underground"

Commentary - This race feels like it has a lot less heat than its actress counterpart, which speaks volumes for the quality female roles now on television. I think that Liev Schreiber finally drops out, but I have doubted him before. Beyond that I think that Malek, Odenkirk, Rhys, and Spacey return. I also think that Kyle Chandler comes back one more time, because they clearly love him. But somebody has got to leave to make room for recent Emmy winner Sterling K. Brown, and I am banking on Schreiber over Chandler leaving the race. I would also watch for Justin Theroux (I think The Leftovers could surprise across the board), Anthony Hopkins (if they like Westworld a lot), Golden Globe winner Billy Bob Thornton, and Milo Ventimiglia to ride a This is Us wave. American Gods has two guys in the mix, but watch for Ian McShane to be the breakthrough. Billions has two previous Emmy winners, and previous nominees and winners like Kiefer Sutherland, Rupert Friend, Hugh Laurie, and Aaron Paul should not be discounted.

Saturday, July 8, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Actress in a Drama Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Claire Danes "Homeland"
Viola Davis "How to Get Away with Murder"
Claire Foy "The Crown"
Elisabeth Moss "The Handmaid's Tale"
Keri Russell "The Americans"
Robin Wright "House of Cards"

Other Contenders - Evan Rachel Wood "Westworld", Christine Baranski "The Good Fight", Carrie Coon "The Leftovers", Mandy Moore "This is Us", Taraji P. Henson "Empire", Kerry Washington "Scandal", Katherine Langford "13 Reasons Why", Taylor Schilling "Orange is the New Black", Lizzy Caplan "Masters of Sex", Ruth Wilson "The Affair", Ruth Negga "Preacher"

Commentary - I don't think this race will see as much turnover as we all thought. Tatiana Maslany is not eligible, and the buzz for Empire is fading, which means that Taraji P. Henson is probably out, although she is not one I would discount. I think that Elisabeth Moss gets in for The Handmaid's Tale, which is getting tremendous buzz, and Claire Foy rides a Crown wave. That means that Danes gets back in (although it is time to move on), as does Russell, Wright (she is vulnerable), and Davis (who benefits from a recent Oscar win). Evan Rachel Wood could get in if HBO can push Oscar voters on Westworld, same with Carrie Coon. Christine Baranski is a favorite, Mandy Moore is the biggest show of the yaer, Katherine Langford is buzzy, and Kerry Washington, Taylor Schilling, and Lizzy Caplan have all gotten love before. Finally, don't discount Ruth Negga. That Oscar nomination is the sort of thing that Emmy voters eat up.

Friday, July 7, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Actor in a Comedy Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Anthony Anderson "black-ish"
Aziz Ansari "Master of None"
Donald Glover "Atlanta"
William H. Macy "Shameless"
Thomas Middleditch "Silicon Valley"
Jeffrey Tambor "Transparent"

Other Contenders - Hank Azaria "Brockmire", Will Forte "The Last Man on Earth", Neil Patrick Harris "A Series of Unfortunate Events", Ted Danson "The Good Place", Jim Parsons "The Big Bang Theory", Patrick Stewart "Blunt Talk", Kevin Bacon "I Love Dick", Zach Galifianakis "Baskets", Andy Samberg "Brooklyn Nine-Nine", Martin Short "Maya and Marty", Nick Nolte "Graves", Gael Garcia Bernal "Mozart in the Jungle", Bill Hader "Documentary Now", Chris Geere "You're the Worst"

Commentary - This category is one that seems to like stability. So I think that one one of last year's contenders is going to drop out to make room for Donald Glover. Will Forte has been a miracle nominee two years in a row, and I don't think he will make it a third, although don't discount him. I think that Hank Azaria is one to watch here, as he seems to win Emmys like some people change underwear. Ted Danson is a legend, Neil Patrick Harris is a favorite, and Jim Parsons has won this too many times for him to be forgotten. I would also watch for Kevin Bacon, Zach Galifianakis, Andy Samberg, Martin Short, Bill Hader, Nick Nolte, and the criminally under-rewarded Chris Geere. But I wouldn't bet on too many surprises. This category hasn't afforded many recently.

Thursday, July 6, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Actress in a Comedy Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Allison Janney "Mom"
Ellie Kemper "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt"
Julia Louis-Dreyfus "Veep"
Issa Rae "Insecure"
Tracee Ellis Ross "black-ish"
Lily Tomlin "Grace and Frankie"

Other Contenders - Jane Fonda "Grace and Frankie", Tracey Ullman "Tracey Ullman's Show", Sarah Jessica Parker "Divorce", Phoebe Waller-Bridge "Fleabag", Justina Machado "One Day at a Time", Lena Dunham "Girls", Minnie Driver "Speechless", Kristen Bell "The Good Place", Gina Rodriguez "Jane the Virgin", Rachel Bloom "Crazy Ex-Girlfriend", Constance Wu "Fresh Off the Boat", Kaitlin Olson "The Mick", Maya Rudolph "Maya and Marty", American Fererra "Superstore", Sharon Horgan "Catastrophe", Michaela Watkins "Casual", Aya Cash "You're the Worst", Briga Heelan "Great News"

Commentary - Unlike the Actor in a Comedy Series category, this one could have ten or twelve nominees, and it still might not be enough. Amy Schumer and Laurie Metcalf are out this year, and that leaves two slots. And I honestly think that it is just those two that are up for grabs. JLD is probably going to break records, and I feel confident about the return of Tomlin, Ross, and Kemper, and all are deserved returns. I think one of those slots is guaranteed for Allison Janney. This woman is an Emmy legend, who has already made this jump before with The West Wing to winning results. It will be interesting to see a Janney vs. JLD battle. The last slot is tricky. Jane Fonda finally got a SAG nod, and the 3rd season was the show's best, Tracey Ullman is an Emmy favorite, Phoebe Waller-Bridge is the critics' pick, Justina Machado is amazing, and Kristen Bell and Minnie Driver are veterans with hot new shows. While Divorce was middling at best, never discount Sarah Jessica Parker, and the final season of Girls should earn Lena Dunham a nod if they haven't completely moved on from the show. I also think that Maya Rudolph, Gina Rodriguez, Rachel Bloon, Constance Wu, Sharon Horgan, Aya Cash, Briga Heelan, the fantastic Kaitlin Oslon, Micheala Watkins, and previous winner America Ferrera should not be discounted. But I think that the refreshing debut of Issa Rae, which earned her a Golden Globe nod, will sway enough voters for that final slot.

Wednesday, July 5, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Jonathan Banks "Better Call Saul"
Jared Harris "The Crown"
Ron Cephas Jones "This is Us"
Michael Kelly "House of Cards"
John Lithgow "The Crown
Jeffrey Wright "Westworld"

Other Contenders - Ed Harris "Westworld", Jon Voight "Ray Donovan", Christopher Eccleston "The Leftovers", Christian Slater "Mr. Robot", Michael McKean "Better Call Saul", David Habour "Stranger Things", Giancarlo Esposito "Better Call Saul", Jeffrey Dean Morgan "The Walking Dead", Justin Hartley "This is Us", Frank Langella "The Americans", Mandy Patinkin "Homeland", James Marsden "Westworld", Joseph Fiennes "The Handmaid's Tale", Mahershala Ali "Luke Cage", Joel Kinnaman "House of Cards', Beau Bridges "Bloodline"

Commentary - This is another one, where there are a lot of spots to fill. Three guys are either out of contention (Game of Thrones duo), or are in another category (Ben Mendelsohn). I think that Michael Kelly and Jonathan Banks are coming back. Kelly is vulnerable as House of Cards has dipped in quality. I also think that Jon Voight is out. He has bounced in and out of this category before, and after the 2016 election season, the notable conservative might face a backlash. That leaves four huge slots. John Lithgow is a shoo-in and probably a favorite to win his like billionth Emmy. Jeffrey Wright seems like a safer bet over Ed Harris, which might confuse some folks, but remember that Wright is a favorite among these voters. Jared Harris is a previous nominee, and will ride a Crown wave. Finally, I think that veteran Ron Cephas Jones pulls a Margo Martindale and rides a wave of support and love for his show to make the cut. He is one of those to really watch for. If he gets in, he could win. Beyond that, I would watch for Ed Harris, who is a beloved veteran, Jon Voight, Christopher Eccleston (who could ride a Leftovers wave), Christian Slater, Michael McKean and Giancarlo Esposito, David Harbour, Jeffrey Dean Morgan, Justin Hartley, previous nominee and winner Mandy Patinkin, Joseph Fiennes, Oscar winner Mahershala Ali, and the ever popular Beau Bridges. With so many open slots, there is so much room for a surprise.

Tuesday, July 4, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Millie Bobby Brown "Stranger Things"
Margo Martindale "The Americans"
Chrissy Metz "This is Us"
Thandie Newton "Westworld"
Winona Ryder "Stranger Things"
Maura Tierney "The Affair"

Other Contenders - Ann Dowd "The Handmaid's Tale", Uzo Aduba "Orange is the New Black", Constance Zimmer "UnReal", Vera Farmiga "Bates Motel", Vanessa Kirby "The Crown", Aisha Hinds "Underground", Rhea Seehorn "Better Call Saul", Patricia Clarkson "House of Cards", Samira Wiley "The Handmaid's Tale", Cush Jumbo "The Good Fight", Rose Leslie "The Good Fight", Maggie Siff "Billions", Holly Taylor "The Americans"

Commentary - This category has too many folks missing. Four of last year's contenders are not returning, and I don't honestly think Constance Zimmer can repeat with UnReal falling considerably in buzz and positive reviews in Season 2. That means that Maura Tierney might be the only returning nominee and she is not a guarantee. I have kept her in because she is a well-liked veteran and a familiar face on this ballot, which Emmy voters like. I also think that previous winner Margo Martindale will hop up into this category for The Americans after winning two years in a row on the Guest side. I love Margo Martindale, but she really doesn't belong here, but then again she didn't deserve either Emmy for this role and voters keep rewarding her, so I won't bet against her. Thandie Newton has been racking up precursors for Westworld, as has Chrissy Metz, and the two gals from Stranger Things. It looks like it is going to be a banner year for new shows, and these four are the most likely to make the cut. But with so many open slots, there is plenty of room for a wild card. Ann Dowd could make it two for two this year with her guest role on The Leftovers, and her bigger role for The Handmaid's Tale (and watch out for her co-star Samira Wiley as well). Uzo could return, but Orange is the New Black has just fallen off the Emmy cliff, Vanessa Kirby could ride a Crown wave, Aisha Hinds is fantastic in Underground, and Vera Farmiga could return to the Emmy race, this time in supporting. I also think that Rhea Seehorn should be kept in mind, as should the duo from The Good Fight. The actors used to love The Good Wife, and could feel the same way about its spin-off.

The 9th Annual Halfway Award Winners

Best Picture
Winner - The Big Sick
Runners Up - Get Out, Wonder Woman, and Logan
Commentary - In my mind, there are four films that have defined the first half of this year. Two were, surprisingly, superhero movies that defied their genre trappings. Get Out proved that horror can be effective, absorbing, and well-made. But for me, the movie that won me over the most was The Big Sick. Maybe it was the pitch-perfect script, or the top-notch cast, or the fact that this is the true story of Kumail Nanjiani and Emily Gordon's life. Whatever it was, it worked, and worked extremely well. It was the most engaging, most fun, and most heartbreaking film of the year so far.

Best Director
Winner - Jordan Peele "Get Out"
Runners Up - Patty Jenkins "Wonder Woman"
Commentary - Patty Jenkins brought a feminist touch to Wonder Woman that set it apart from similar films. But Jordan Peele's jump from comedy to horror was simply masterful, and he even managed to blend the two. He also managed to expose racial tensions in a horrific fashion that also made all of its viewers think about the vitriol in the world around us. I cannot wait to see what Peele has up his sleeve next.

Best Actor
Winner - Hugh Jackman "Logan"
Runners Up - Sam Elliott "The Hero" and Richard Gere "Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer"
Commentary - Two veterans with late in life successes are narrowly topped by Hugh Jackman's final outing as Wolverine. Jackman has always been an excellent presence, even when the X-Men films didn't match him. But this time around, we get to see Wolverine stripped down to his most raw and most emotional, and thanks to Jackman, we finally got to see just how much he could do with the character. The results were fantastic.

Best Actress
Winner - Gal Gadot "Wonder Woman"
Runner Up - Kristen Stewart "Personal Shopper"
Commentary - Gal Gadot. She was the only thing worth watching in the otherwise dreadful Batman V. Superman. With her own film this time, she proves that she is a superstar. She was magnificent in Wonder Woman, a perfect blend of heart, innocence, humor, and when necessary, ass-kicking awesomeness. I cannot wait to see what is next in Wonder Woman's journey, mainly because it gives all of us another chance to see just what this new talent has in store.

Best Supporting Actor
Winner - Patrick Stewart "Logan"
Runners Up - LilRey Howrey "Get Out" and Chris Pine "Wonder Woman"
Commentary - Like Jackman, Patrick Stewart was finally able to unshackle the cool factor that has been Professor X. He was magnificent as the dying mentor. His long standing chemistry with Jackman and the finality and passion he brings to the character remind us why he is one of the best working actors today.

Best Supporting Actress
Winner - Holly Hunter "The Big Sick"
Runners Up - Betty Gabriel "Get Out" and Dafne Keen "Logan"
Commentary - The Big Sick works top to bottom because it has such a deep bench. One of the best performances came from the great Holly Hunter. She was funny, heartwarming, and a perfect addition to what was already an outstanding ensemble.

Best Screenplay
Winner  - Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani "The Big Sick"
Runners Up - Jordan Peele "Get Out" and Macon Blair "I Don't Feel At Home in this World Anymore"
Commentary - See Best Picture

Best Animated Feature
Winner - The Lego Batman Movie
Runner Up -   N/A
Commentary - There really was no other choice here. The other two films were mediocre at best, and Lego Batman Movie was a rollicking good time.

Best Ensemble
Winner - The Big Sick
Runners Up - Get Out and The Lost City of Z
Commentary - See Best Picture and Best Supporting Actress

Monday, July 3, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Louie Anderson "Baskets"
Alec Baldwin "Saturday Night Live"
Andre Braugher "Brooklyn Nine-Nine"
Tituss Burgess "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt"
Tony Hale "Veep"
Matt Walsh "Veep"

Other Contenders - Ty Burrell "Modern Family", Bryan Tyree Henry "Atlanta", Timothy Simons "Veep", Laurence Fishburne "black-ish", Lakeith Stanfield "Atlanta", Adam Driver "Girls", Andrew Rannells "Girls", Micah Fowler "Speech-less", Eric Stonestreet "Modern Family", Ed O'Neill "Modern Family", Jesse Tyler Ferguson "Modern Family", T.J. Miller "Silicon Valley", Zach Woods "Silicon Valley", Kumail Nanjiani "Silicon Valley", Martin Sheen "Grace and Frankie", Sam Waterston "Grace and Frankie", Bobby Cannavale "Master of None", Tracey Letts "Divorce", Deon Cole "black-ish"

Commentary -  I think this is the year that Modern Family falls out completely, which means Ty Burrell finally misses out. It happens with shows, even some of the big ones like Frasier finally missed out on nominations in its later years. That leaves one slots, one for Burrell, and one for Keegan Michael Key, whose show ended, and one for the seventh guy who got in last year. I think that the other guys get in again. Tituss Burgess, Louie Anderson, and Tony Hale are locks. Matt Walsh should be replaced by Timothy Simons this season, but once they like you, it takes them a while to drop you, and Veep had yet another great season. Andre Braugher has been on the fence for years now, but he is one of those guys that you don't bet against, plus he deserves every nomination he gets for Brooklyn Nine-Nine. That last slot is going to Alec Baldwin. He is an Emmy favorite, and has been one of the big reasons to watch SNL this season. It would be an anomaly, as he would be the first non-regular cast member to get into one of these supporting categories. But his role was so big and so important to the cultural zeitgeist, I don't think it matters that it is unusual. Beyond those six, I would watch for Burrell, newcomers Bryan Tyree Henry and Lakeith Stanfield from Atlanta, the rest of the Modern Family guys, and the crew from Silicon Valley. Laurence Fishburne could ride a black-ish wave, the aforementioned Timothy Simons had a fantastic season, Micah Fowler is a breakout, and Bobby Cannavale is always a favorite. Finally, look for the two guys from Girls, who both had great final seasons, and the legendary duo from Grace and Frankie, particularly Martin Sheen who had an Emmy-worthy story line this season.

Sunday, July 2, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Anna Chlumsky "Veep"
Gaby Hoffman "Transparent"
Jane Krakowski "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt"
Judith Light "Transparent"
Kate McKinnon "Saturday Night Live"
Rita Moreno "One Day at a Time"

Other Contenders - Zazie Beetz "Atlanta", Mayim Bialik "The Big Bang Theory", Andrea Martin "Great News", Julie Bowen "Modern Family", Allison Williams "Girls", Zosia Mamet "Girls", Jemima Kirke "Girls", Carol Kane "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt", Leslie Jones "Saturday Night Live", Vanessa Bayer "Saturday Night Live", Cecily Strong "Saturday Night Live", Aidy Bryant "Saturday Night Live", Jenifer Lewis "black-ish", Yvonne Orji "Insecure", Amy Landecker "Transparent", Olivia Colman "Fleabag",  Kether Donohue "You're the Worst"

Commentary - Two contenders from last year are out. Niecy Nash's Get On ended, and Allison Janney has bumped herself up to lead. I think that the other four contenders from last year, the two Transparent contenders, Anna Chlumsky, and last year's winner Kate McKinnon all return. I also think that a year after missing out, that Jane Krakowski returns for Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. That leaves one slot. Newcomers like Zazie Beetz and Yvonne Orji could ride the wave of their shows buzz. Julie Bowen and Mayim Bialik could return if voters remember how much they used to love picking them. The other gals from Saturday Night Live, particularly Leslie Jones, are in the mix, and the supporting cast of Girls had a great final season. Legends like Carol Kane and Andrea Martin should be in consideration, and outside choices like Olivia Colman and Kether Donohue could inspire some votes. But for the final slot, I am picking Emmy-winning legend Rita Moreno, who is awesome in the reboot of One Day At a Time. Netflix has been pushing the show a bit, and while the other races are stacked, this one provides the perfect opportunity for them to cash in on their Emmy hopes.

The 9th Annual Halfway Award Nominations

In July of 2009, I began this project known as the Awards Psychic, this time next year, I will begin my 10th Anniversary celebration. It is so hard to believe that I am still doing this, after all these years. This blog has gotten me through college, starting my career, grad school, good times, bad times, and everything in between. It is also hard to believe that we are already halfway through another year in cinema. It won't be long before we are at the fall festivals and Oscar season gets underway. Check out this year's nominees for the 9th Annual Halfway Awards.

Best Picture
Baby Driver
The Beguiled
The Big Sick
Get Out
I Don't Feel at Home in this World Anymore
It Comes at Night
The Lego Batman Movie
The Lost City of Z
Wonder Woman

Best Director
Sofia Coppola "The Beguiled"
James Gray "The Lost City of Z"
Patty Jenkins "Wonder Woman"
James Mangold "Logan"
Jordan Peele "Get Out"
Michael Showalter "The Big Sick"
Edgar Wright "Baby Driver"

Best Actor
Joel Edgerton "It Comes at Night"
Ansel Elgort "Baby Driver"
Sam Elliott "The Hero"
Richard Gere "Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer"
Charlie Hunnam "The Lost City of Z"
Hugh Jackman "Logan"
Daniel Kaluuya "Get Out"
Kumail Nanjiani "The Big Sick"

Best Actress
Gal Gadot "Wonder Woman"
Anne Hathaway "Colossal"
Zoe Kazan "The Big Sick"
Nicole Kidman "The Beguiled"
Melanie Lynskey "I Don't Feel At Home in this World Anymore"
Kristen Stewart "Personal Shopper"
Emma Watson "Beauty and the Beast"
Debra Winger "The Lovers"

Best Supporting Actor
Sharlto Copley "Free Fire"
LilRey Howrey "Get Out"
Chris Pine "Wonder Woman"
Robert Pattinson "The Lost City of Z"
Ray Romano "The Big Sick"
Patrick Stewart "Logan"
Bradley Whitford "Get Out"

Best Supporting Actress
Elle Fanning "The Beguiled"
Betty Gabriel "Get Out"
Holly Hunter "The Big Sick"
Dafne Keene "Logan"
Catherine Keener "Get Out"
Sienna Miller "The Lost City of Z"
Allison Williams "Get Out"
Robin Wright "Wonder Woman"

Best Screenplay
Sofia Coppola "The Beguiled"
Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani "The Big Sick"
Jordan Peele "Get Out"
Macon Blair "I Don't Feel At Home in this World Anymore"
James Mangold, Scott Frank and Michael Green "Logan"
James Gray "The Lost City of Z"
Allan Heinberg, Zach Snyder, and Jason Fuchs "Wonder Woman"

Best Animated Feature
Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie
Despicable Me 3
The Lego Batman Movie

Best Ensemble
Baby Driver
Beauty and the Beast
The Beguiled
The Big Sick
Get Out
The Lost City of Z
Wonder Woman

Saturday, July 1, 2017

2017 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series

2017 Nomination Predictions
Hank Azaria "Ray Donovan"
Dylan Baker "The Good Fight"
Beau Bridges "Masters of Sex"
Gerald McRaney "This is Us"
Denis O'Hare "This is Us"
Ben Mendelsohn "Bloodline"

Other Contenders - David Strathairn "Billions", Lars Mikkelson "House of Cards", Brian Tyree Henry "This is Us", BD Wong "Mr. Robot", Matthew Perry "The Good Fight", John Cameron Mitchell "The Good Fight", Dan Bucatinsky "Scandal", Orlando Jones "American Gods", Reed Birney "House of Cards", Ron Cephas Jones "Mr. Robot", Hal Holbrook "Grey's Anatomy"

Commentary - After all these years, will Gerald McRaney finally get the Emmy recognition he deserves? Let's just say that if This is Us can't get him a nod, I don't know if anything can. Ben Mendelsohn returns to this race after surprisingly winning the Supporting category. He is clearly popular enough to repeat. I think that history will repeat itself with Beau Bridges, Dylan Baker, and Hank Azaria, who has gotten in before with these characters. Finally, after sneaking in so many times for AHS, I think that Denis O'Hare is one to watch for, for This is Us. Beyond that, Oscar nominee David Strathairn is a contender for Billions, Lars Mikkelson and Reed Birney could get in like so many guest stars have for House of Cards before them, Orlando Jons, Dan Bucatinsky, Brian Tyree Henry, Hal Holbrook, and the slew of folks from The Good Fight and Mr. Robot are all in the mix.

43rd Annual Saturn Award Winners

Best Comic-to-Film Motion Picture
Doctor Strange

Best Science Fiction Film
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Fantasy Film
The Jungle Book

Best Horror Film
Don't Breathe

Best Thriller Film
10 Cloverfield Lane

Best Action / Adventure Film
Hidden Figures

Best Actor in a Film
Ryan Reynolds (Deadpool)

Best Actress in a Film
Mary Eizabeth Winstead (10 Cloverfield Lane)

Best Supporting Actor in a Film
John Goodman (10 Cloverfield Lane)

Best Supporting Actress in a Film
Tilda Swinton (Doctor Strange)

Best Performance by a Younger Actor
Tom Holland (Captain America: Civil War)

Best Direction in a Film
Gareth Edwards (Rogue One: A Star Wars Story)

Best Film Screenplay
Eric Heisserer (Arrival)

Best Film Production Design
The BFG (Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg)

Best Film Editing
The BFG (Michael Kahn)

Best Film Music
La La Land (Justin Hurwitz)

Best Film Costume
Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them (Colleen Atwood)

Best Film Make-Up
Star Trek Beyond (Monica Huppert, Joel Harlow)

Best Film Visual / Special Effects
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel, Neil Corbould)

Best International Film
The Handmaiden

Best Independent Film
La La Land

Best Animated Film
Finding Dory

Best Science Fiction TV Series

Best Fantasy TV Series

Best Horror TV Series
The Walking Dead

Best Action/Thriller TV Series

Best Presentation on Television

Best Actor on Television
Andrew Lincoln (The Walking Dead)

Best Actress on Television
Melissa Benoist (Supergirl)

Best Supporting Actor on Television
Ed Harris (Westworld)

Best Supporting Actress on Television
Candice Patton (The Flash)

Best Younger Actor on Television
Millie Bobby Brown (Stranger Things)

Best Guest Star on Television
Jeffrey Dean Morgan (The Walking Dead)

Best Superhero Adaptation TV Series

Best New Media TV Series
Marvel's Luke Cage / Stranger Things (tie)

The Life Career Award
Lee Majors

The Visionary Award
Akiva Goldsman

The Filmmakers Showcase Award
Rick Jaffa and Amanda Silver

The Special Recognition Award
Heavy Metal Magazine

The Breakthrough Performance Award
KJ Apa (Riverdale)